Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $274.31
- Potential payout
- $4.22K
- Potential profit
- $3.95K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$460.31
Polymarket Trader
0xfdc47E82C198Dbd5810FB400F1f38FA09Fe14a96-1769707434291
0xfdc47e82c198dbd5810fb400f1f38fa09fe14a96
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $274.31
- Realized PnL
- $51.55
- Win rate
- 85.7%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 7
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get at least 150M views in its first 7 days?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351.76
- Potential profit
- $351.76
- User PnL
- -$100
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
Ends Feb 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$10
Blue Jackets position
Kings vs. Blue Jackets
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.04
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.4
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.71
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.26
No position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,310.83 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 1,659.33 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?No 66% 15.15 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 16% 1,250 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 3:40AM-3:45AM ETUp 2% 49.99 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 91% 220.74 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No 90.1% 337.83 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ETUp 55.8% 69.46 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?No 74% 337.84 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?No 93.2% 315.9 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No 89% 220.74 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?No 99.2% 197.29 shares