No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 91°F or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Polymarket Trader
tnolan
0xfdcae8797f43d00db93384b4563cdf1082354b28
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- -$11.38
- Win rate
- 90%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 20
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 91°F or higher on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?
Ends Aug 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will Elon tweet 190–204 times June 20–27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?
Ends Sep 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?
Ends Aug 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 87-88°F on July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Elon tweet 625–649 times August 15–August 22?
Ends Aug 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon tweet 90–104 times July 25–August 1?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in October 2025?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 85°F or higher on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Arthur Hayes appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No 99.9% 13.52 shares
- Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in November?No 99.9% 13.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?No 99.8% 13.48 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 1280-1319 tweets in October 2025?No 99.9% 13.47 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?No 99.9% 13.4 shares
- Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30?No 99.8% 13.43 shares
- Will V win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?Yes 0.1% 1,020 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in August?No 99.6% 14.48 shares
- Will Elon tweet 625–649 times August 15–August 22?No 99.9% 14.35 shares
- Will Elon tweet 455–469 times August 8–August 15?No 97.5% 14.36 shares
- Elon Musk tweets 25+ times Wednesday?Yes 98.8% 13.96 shares
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?No 99.6% 13.89 shares