Polymarket Trader

luck1030

0xfdcfb02e2fc092414d8a5a42ca0cd717c4f8b6e0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $458.08
Realized PnL: $1.46K
Win rate: 27.3%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.09K
Potential profit: $9.09K
User PnL: -$99.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$139.82

Yes position

Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $458.08
Potential payout: $1.73K
Potential profit: $1.27K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$127.27

T1 position

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $1.22K
User PnL: -$623.42

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election by between 3% and 6%?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $858.03
Potential profit: $858.03
User PnL: -$130.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $841.81
Potential profit: $841.81
User PnL: -$171.21

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $465.88
Potential profit: $465.88
User PnL: -$177.03

Yes position

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.67
Potential profit: $166.67
User PnL: -$50

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38K

Yes position

Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $323.16

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $231.1

Yes position

Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: -$1.17

No position

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$1.67

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$1.76

Yes position

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.42

Yes position

Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.8

Yes position

Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-22?

Ends Nov 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will Yoo Jeong-bok win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$449.47

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 52% 453.69 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 16.9% 1,764.7 shares
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 39% 30.77 shares
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 17% 1,764.71 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 52% 384.62 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 99% 528.02 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 528.03 shares
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 34.8% 412.83 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 36% 421.16 shares
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 37% 421.16 shares
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI

T1 48% 126.02 shares
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?

Yes 36.6% 293.17 shares