Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.4%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $27.2
- Multiplier
- 10.70x
- User PnL
- $0.11
Polymarket Trader
nathenbutcool
0xfdd0a5af573ac8ab8dd10b612bff85734b8fd1b8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $24.45
- Realized PnL
- -$1.55
- Win rate
- 58.8%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $12.75
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $17.25
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $2.25
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.5%
- Current value
- $8.89
- Potential payout
- $13.79
- Potential profit
- $4.9
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- $1.56
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- $4.42
Yes position
House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15
No position
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.09
Yes position
Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.97
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.81
Yes position
James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
Timberwolves position
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Zverev position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Auger-Aliassime position
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger-Aliassime
Ends Nov 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.50x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Bengals position
Bengals vs. Steelers
Ends Nov 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.1
Yes position
Trump vetoes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.2
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.02
Yes position
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.32
Canadiens position
Bruins vs. Canadiens
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 3.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 57% 10 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 9% 30 shares
- US government shutdown Saturday?Yes 23% 8.13 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 20% 8 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes 38% 8 shares
- Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?No 20.2% 10 shares
- Senate vote on Epstein bill by November 28?No 22% 5 shares
- House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Yes 99.9% 5 shares
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 5 shares
- James Comey’s indictment dismissed before trial?Yes 88% 2.62 shares
- Fetterman out by December 31, 2026?Yes 21% 8 shares