No position
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $46.89
- Potential payout
- $52.3
- Potential profit
- $5.41
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$3.11
Polymarket Trader
gamerdad.82
0xfdd61ece6b97d2a917fba5a2eac6d14299f8ca6f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $183.44
- Realized PnL
- $5.72
- Win rate
- 72.7%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.7%
- Current value
- $43.5
- Potential payout
- $52
- Potential profit
- $8.5
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$6.47
No position
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $49.56
- Potential payout
- $51.6
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.44
No position
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $43.49
- Potential payout
- $43.8
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- User PnL
- $3.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Anže Logar be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.66
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in April 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.28
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will Daniil Medvedev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?
Ends Mar 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Barbora Krejčíková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Linda Nosková win the 2026 Women’s French Open?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 97.5% 22.58 shares