Jopol

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.64K
Potential profit: $2.64K
User PnL: -$94.38

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $2.29K
User PnL: -$362.97

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $2.2K
User PnL: -$466.99

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$110

Yes position

Will April 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.95K
Potential profit: $1.95K
User PnL: -$329

Yes position

Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 17%
Current value: $325.96
Potential payout: $1.92K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 5.88x
User PnL: -$541.82

Yes position

Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?

Ends Jan 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$538.48

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $47.62
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$113.7

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.71K
Potential profit: $1.71K
User PnL: -$753

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in May 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$155

Yes position

Will OL Lyonnes win on 2026-05-23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$150.24

Yes position

Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.06K
Potential profit: $1.06K
User PnL: -$665.44

Yes position

Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $1.03K
User PnL: -$362.13

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in April 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$111.16

Yes position

Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 56.6%
Current value: $565.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $434.5
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $416.82

Yes position

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-04-11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $900.46
Potential profit: $900.46
User PnL: -$504.25

Yes position

Will UConn win the 2026 Women's NCAA Tournament?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $867.79
Potential profit: $867.79
User PnL: -$573.14

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $806.82
Potential profit: $806.82
User PnL: -$355

Yes position

Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 3.7%
Current value: $23.48
Potential payout: $643.34
Potential profit: $619.86
Multiplier: 27.40x
User PnL: -$25.1

Yes position

Will Duke advance to the Final Four?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $639.99
Potential profit: $639.99
User PnL: -$384.79

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Implied probability: 14.4%
Current value: $79.63
Potential payout: $554.94
Potential profit: $475.31
Multiplier: 6.97x
User PnL: $50.19

Yes position

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508
Potential profit: $508
User PnL: -$279.4

Yes position

Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $412.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $87.5
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $63.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Artemis II launch by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $942.48

Yes position

2025 September second hottest on record?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $932.67

No position

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $825.82

No position

Will Artemis II launch by February 28?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $795.04

Yes position

Will Arizona advance to the Final Four?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $644.82

No position

Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $554.28

Yes position

Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $462.76

Yes position

Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.41

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.19

Yes position

Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $341

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.83

Yes position

Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $285.66

Yes position

Will Thomas Partey sign with a new club during the transfer window?

Ends Sep 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $266.87

Yes position

Will Jose Mourinho be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $250.48

Yes position

Will Marc Guehi sign with a new club during the winter transfer window?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $225.91

Yes position

Will Michigan advance to the Final Four?