Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Polymarket Trader
Alivia840
0xfdf00af91496d635e255ab329e0df6a1c52feca8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $8.16
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $3.18
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
Will egg prices be between $6.00 and $6.25 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- $0.24
No position
Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Presidential Election
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the Eastern Conference?
Ends Jun 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0.05
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 295 or more times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Sam Altman buy TikTok?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Canada join US as 51st state before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump sell 25k-100k Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.2% 31 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.9% 113 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 2.8% 144 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 91% 24 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 90% 24 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 97.2% 47 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 106 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 45% 106 shares
- Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?No 91% 51 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 54 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 54 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86% 54 shares