Polymarket Trader

Dolomitmann

0xfdf1528f315497442ec5fc5bc7e200456e8000d1

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $43.81
Realized PnL: $96.21
Win rate: 88.9%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 9
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.38

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $227.27
Potential profit: $227.27
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $208.33
Potential profit: $208.33
User PnL: -$25

Down position

Solana Up or Down - May 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $144.37
Potential profit: $144.37
User PnL: -$14.66

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.43
Potential profit: $71.43
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.28
Potential payout: $62.69
Potential profit: $62.4
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$4.72

Yes position

James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $53.06
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$2.5

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.85
Potential profit: $53.85
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.39
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$9.91

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.3
Potential profit: $30.3
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $23.26
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $21.74
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $11.74

Yes position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.74
Potential profit: $21.74
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 89%
Current value: $18.58
Potential payout: $20.88
Potential profit: $2.3
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: $8.58

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.47
Potential profit: $16.47
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.53

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.61

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Chirayu Rana divorced?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.13

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June?

No 47.9% 20.88 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?

Yes 46% 21.74 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 48% 20.83 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 33% 30.3 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 60% 16.67 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 51% 19.61 shares
Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Yes 14% 71.43 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 23% 43.48 shares