No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $19.58K
- Potential payout
- $23.74K
- Potential profit
- $4.15K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $9.07K
Polymarket Trader
Polyticks
0xfdfca60e7aebfc50dfdc40c27987970aa9c1288c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $51.94K
- Realized PnL
- $52.53K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.4%
- Current value
- $9.98K
- Potential payout
- $10.57K
- Potential profit
- $592.03
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.14K
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $3.55K
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $6.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $4.02K
- Potential payout
- $7K
- Potential profit
- $2.98K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $485.03
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $2.88K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $375
No position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $3.42K
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $579.99
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $699.98
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 37%
- Current value
- $1.44K
- Potential payout
- $3.9K
- Potential profit
- $2.45K
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- -$867.52
Yes position
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 49%
- Current value
- $1.47K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $1.53K
- Multiplier
- 2.04x
- User PnL
- -$390
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$1.32K
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.11K
- Potential payout
- $2.01K
- Potential profit
- $892.22
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$90.42
No position
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $897.58
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- -$59.84
No position
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 59%
- Current value
- $884.97
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $614.98
- Multiplier
- 1.69x
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.3%
- Current value
- $302.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $697.5
- Multiplier
- 3.31x
- User PnL
- -$346.43
Yes position
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $384.98
- Potential payout
- $999.95
- Potential profit
- $614.97
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$95
Yes position
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $632
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $168
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $709.72
- Potential payout
- $717.98
- Potential profit
- $8.26
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $149.7
No position
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $432.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $67.5
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $7.5
Yes position
Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election in San Francisco City and County?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $284.05
- Potential profit
- $281.49
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$76.98
Yes position
California voter ID referendum passes?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Current value
- $68.11
- Potential payout
- $168.18
- Potential profit
- $100.07
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $33.02
No position
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $104.64
- Potential payout
- $126.07
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $49.17
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $57.73
- Potential payout
- $81.31
- Potential profit
- $23.58
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $6.5
No position
SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.9%
- Current value
- $2.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $47.08
- Multiplier
- 17.09x
- User PnL
- -$7.08
Yes position
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.24
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?
Ends Jan 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.58K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.81K
No position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96K
Yes position
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
Will Rick Scott be the next Senate Majority Leader?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.07K
Down position
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.06K
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96K
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75K
Down position
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.74K
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5K
No position
Will a Democrat win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
Yes position
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will ChatGPT reach 1b monthly active users in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.15K
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 20?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.1K
Down position
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.08K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Down position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 12?
Ends May 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1K
Yes position
Will the government shutdown end November 13?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $856.46
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- SpaceX IPO: Closing Share Price Up/Down on First Day?Up 99.9% 1,250 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1?Down 45% 16.66 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETDown 27.5% 600 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETUp 43.5% 459.71 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 36.2% 276.57 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 34.8% 287.52 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:10PM-6:15PM ETUp 32.6% 306.42 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 58.8% 169.94 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETDown 58.4% 171.1 shares
- S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28?Down 50% 600 shares
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights 95% 8,000 shares
- Avalanche vs. Golden KnightsAvalanche 52% 3,000 shares