0xfe01652A80C65019a494D59741FBcd44fd6987D3-1781888517747

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.36
Potential payout: $719.15
Potential profit: $718.79
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$38.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $299.94
Potential payout: $652.03
Potential profit: $352.1
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $136.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 53%
Current value: $238.9
Potential payout: $450.76
Potential profit: $211.86
Multiplier: 1.89x
User PnL: $37.98

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $187.51
Potential payout: $378.81
Potential profit: $191.3
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: $63.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 17.6%
Current value: $61.67
Potential payout: $351.38
Potential profit: $289.71
Multiplier: 5.70x
User PnL: -$16.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $301.05
Potential payout: $307.98
Potential profit: $6.93
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $181.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $255.84
Potential profit: $255.72
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$48.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $106.14
Potential payout: $255.76
Potential profit: $149.62
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$13.85

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $255.35
Potential profit: $250.11
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$59.45

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $127.75
Potential payout: $248.05
Potential profit: $120.31
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $7.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 33%
Current value: $67.11
Potential payout: $203.35
Potential profit: $136.24
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $29.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $106.85
Potential payout: $199.72
Potential profit: $92.87
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $16.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $170.79
Potential profit: $170.7
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$28.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 34°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $80.66
Potential payout: $159.71
Potential profit: $79.06
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $83.91
Potential payout: $156.84
Potential profit: $72.93
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $29.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $148.49
Potential payout: $152.3
Potential profit: $3.81
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $83.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.23
Potential payout: $113
Potential profit: $112.78
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.12

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $112.23
Potential profit: $112.17
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $110.44
Potential profit: $110.38
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$4.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.49
Potential payout: $108.87
Potential profit: $108.38
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$2.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $25.86
Potential payout: $101.22
Potential profit: $75.35
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 24?

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $11.25
Potential payout: $97.85
Potential profit: $86.59
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$19.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $48
Potential payout: $96.98
Potential profit: $48.97
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$15.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 90-91°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $92.52
Potential profit: $92.47
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$13.5

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 22?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.5

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1

No position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on June 23?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 28°C on June 24?

Implied probability: 69.5%
Multiplier: 1.44x
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 20?