Yes position
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$10
Polymarket Trader
poopedpants
0xfe043129e9f9cd1c6d9e205c810f3cc1e8609a42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $468.31
- Realized PnL
- $1.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $12.35
- Potential payout
- $915.16
- Potential profit
- $902.81
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$16.28
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $544.42
- Potential profit
- $544.42
- User PnL
- -$62.57
Yes position
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $411.46
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $383.46
- Potential profit
- $383.46
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $16.22
- Potential payout
- $373.85
- Potential profit
- $357.62
- Multiplier
- 23.04x
- User PnL
- -$32.37
Yes position
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $80.02
- Potential payout
- $333.43
- Potential profit
- $253.41
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$78.67
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.56
- Potential profit
- $324.56
- User PnL
- -$56.42
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.8%
- Current value
- $13.89
- Potential payout
- $292.52
- Potential profit
- $278.62
- Multiplier
- 21.05x
- User PnL
- -$10.47
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $3.56
- Potential payout
- $284.57
- Potential profit
- $281.01
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.4
Yes position
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $256.12
- Potential profit
- $256.12
- User PnL
- -$12.55
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $45.06
- Potential payout
- $243.56
- Potential profit
- $198.5
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$28.69
Yes position
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $219.97
- Potential profit
- $217.99
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$8.02
No position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $113.26
- Potential payout
- $204.07
- Potential profit
- $90.81
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $95.36
- Potential payout
- $174.96
- Potential profit
- $79.61
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $1.74
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $169.23
- Potential profit
- $169.23
- User PnL
- -$28.29
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $42.18
- Potential payout
- $159.49
- Potential profit
- $117.3
- Multiplier
- 3.78x
- User PnL
- $20.43
Yes position
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $150
- Potential profit
- $150
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $4.67
- Potential payout
- $145.8
- Potential profit
- $141.13
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$15.78
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $138.19
- Potential profit
- $138.19
- User PnL
- -$52.51
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $12.05
- Potential payout
- $126.86
- Potential profit
- $114.81
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$12.05
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $15.8
- Potential payout
- $126.4
- Potential profit
- $110.6
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$21.13
Y
Yes position
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103
- Potential profit
- $103
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $6.69
- Potential payout
- $102.94
- Potential profit
- $96.25
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$3.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $170.07
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $70 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $137.35
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $117.34
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $3700 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88
Yes position
Will Solana reach $200 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $80
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $98,000 January 12-18?
Ends Jan 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $73.28
Yes position
Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $73.24
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high day after election?
Ends Nov 6, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $71.76
Yes position
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.33
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.16
Bills position
Ravens vs. Bills
Ends Jan 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.17
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.72
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.52
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.22
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.58
Yes position
Will Ethereum reach $2900 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.96
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.38
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.34
Yes position
Will Solana reach $180 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.47
Yes position
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.47
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 in November?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.14
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?
Ends Jan 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $33.04
Yes position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.42
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?Yes 21.5% 87.98 shares
- Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes 4.5% 219.97 shares
- Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?Yes 8.3% 292.52 shares
- Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?Yes 1% 1,003.82 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 88.4% 40 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 18.54 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 50% 20 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 54% 37.04 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo 54% 37.04 shares
- Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?Yes 62% 11.65 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 21% 34.31 shares