kgg001

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $166.34
Potential payout: $5.94K
Potential profit: $5.77K
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$1.42K

Yes position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $4.15K
User PnL: -$2.78K

No position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$1.43K

Grizzlies position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $3.9K
User PnL: -$2K

No position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.53K
Potential payout: $3.9K
Potential profit: $370.5
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $461.77

Inner Circle position

Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group A

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.88K
Potential profit: $3.88K
User PnL: -$1.49K

Team Resilience position

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 4 Winner

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.14K
Potential profit: $3.14K
User PnL: -$1.46K

Bulls position

Hornets vs. Bulls

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $3.1K
User PnL: -$1.02K

OG position

Dota 2: OG vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.04K
Potential profit: $3.04K
User PnL: -$329.93

No position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.93K
Potential profit: $2.93K
User PnL: -$1.16K

No position

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

Implied probability: 96.1%
Current value: $2.56K
Potential payout: $2.66K
Potential profit: $105.13
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $57.24

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Rockets

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$260

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.2%
Current value: $383
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.62K
Multiplier: 5.22x
User PnL: $111

Kiwoom DRX position

Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.89K
Potential profit: $1.89K
User PnL: -$994.61

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 10 days or more?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.8K
Potential profit: $1.8K
User PnL: -$50.4

Yes position

Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $51.6
Potential payout: $1.72K
Potential profit: $1.67K
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$84.58

No position

Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $401.73
Potential payout: $1.52K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$474.52

Down position

Solana Up or Down on February 14?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$105

No position

Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Implied probability: 80%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $280
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: -$10.99

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.3K
Potential profit: $1.3K
User PnL: -$820.99

Pistons position

Spurs vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.21K
Potential profit: $1.21K
User PnL: -$652.72

No position

US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$56.4

Yes position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.09K
Potential profit: $1.09K
User PnL: -$349.29

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.74K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21K

No position

Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.66K

Magic position

Magic vs. Clippers

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Vici Gaming position

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $730.58

Team Vitality position

LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $532.8

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $494.29

REKONIX position

Dota 2: L1ga Team vs REKONIX - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.05

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402

DN SOOPers Challengers position

LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $309.99

No position

Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.71

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195

Under position

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.96

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.98

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.21

Yes position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.23

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.09

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $71.91

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 11?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.9

No position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.97

Yes position

Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 9?