Polymarket Trader

0xFe11101A4802F8eD745FfD897fA701a3ec6147AC-1759469716330

0xfe11101a4802f8ed745ffd897fa701a3ec6147ac

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $196.19
Realized PnL: $247.16
Win rate: 73.7%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 19
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $174.03
Potential profit: $174.03
User PnL: -$161.85

No position

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $155.71
Potential payout: $156.57
Potential profit: $0.86
User PnL: $10.1

No position

President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.2%
Current value: $3.01
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $133.97
Multiplier: 45.45x
User PnL: -$6.99

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$3

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 3?

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.67
Potential profit: $39.67
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.37
Potential profit: $27.37
User PnL: -$21.35

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Pistons

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.35
Potential profit: $22.35
User PnL: -$9.83

Yes position

ChatGPT Outage by March 20?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.29
Potential profit: $19.29
User PnL: -$3.28

No position

Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $15.77
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $3.46
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.77

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $11.29
Potential payout: $17.24
Potential profit: $5.95
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $4
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $10.29
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $1.57
Potential payout: $8.06
Potential profit: $6.49
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$3.43

Yes position

Iran leadership change by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 87%
Current value: $4.83
Potential payout: $5.56
Potential profit: $0.72
Multiplier: 1.15x
User PnL: -$0.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $4.17
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $119

No position

Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 93.9%
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $27.86

No position

Iran leadership change by March 13?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.85

No position

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.35

No position

Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.29

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.14

No position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.97

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.79

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

Yes position

Will Vitality win Blast Open Rotterdam 2026?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET

Ends Oct 3, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Speech to the Nation?

No 58% 17.24 shares
Will Trump say "Million," "Billion," or "Trillion" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation?

No 78% 19.23 shares
Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 90% 5.56 shares
Will Trump say "World Cup" during Speech to the Nation?

Yes 35% 14.29 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 7.3% 136.99 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June?

No 94% 48.48 shares
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 93% 156.57 shares
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?

No 89.5% 146.14 shares
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

No 71% 45.66 shares
Raptors vs. Pistons

Raptors 44% 21.96 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

No 93% 174.03 shares
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

No 85.1% 46.42 shares