No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$3
Polymarket Trader
0xfE121f0D31F54F63d29e558640DcA3614026b601-1781247405438
0xfe121f0d31f54f63d29e558640dca3614026b601
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $727.74
- Realized PnL
- -$3.61
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $459.51
- Potential payout
- $735.22
- Potential profit
- $275.71
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $145.77
Yes position
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $262.53
- Potential profit
- $262.53
- User PnL
- -$149.64
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.4%
- Current value
- $42.13
- Potential payout
- $228.95
- Potential profit
- $186.82
- Multiplier
- 5.43x
- User PnL
- -$7.87
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $170
- Potential payout
- $196.53
- Potential profit
- $26.53
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $90
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $13.42
- Potential payout
- $52.63
- Potential profit
- $39.21
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- -$6.58
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Current value
- $42.68
- Potential payout
- $48.78
- Potential profit
- $6.1
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $22.68
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.27
- Potential profit
- $32.27
- User PnL
- -$4.84
FUT Esports position
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.21
- Potential profit
- $23.21
- User PnL
- -$13
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.38
- Potential profit
- $15.38
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Ecuador?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.74
Vitality position
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.96
FUT Esports position
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 1 Tunisia?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.33
Leviatán Esports position
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.62
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.35
Monte position
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Sweden 2 - 0 Tunisia?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Sweden 3 - 0 Tunisia?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Under position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.51
FUT Esports position
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Ecuador?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Ecuador?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$11
Under position
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 9.5 Total Corners
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15.3
Under position
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Switzerland position
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 56% 230.54 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 38% 52.63 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes 21.8% 228.95 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 98.6% 201.05 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.6% 750 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes 0.4% 750 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?No 95% 201.05 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.2% 1,500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 37.6% 464.68 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 40.7% 196.53 shares
- Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5Under 60% 33.33 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No 25% 40 shares