Yes position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $4.58K
- User PnL
- -$30.37
Polymarket Trader
MMI
0xfe140d9eac2a1565349ac7ea3405749efd011a10
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $439.22
- Realized PnL
- $2.7K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$24.19
Yes position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $247.58
- Potential payout
- $2.61K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$13.43
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $182.26
- Potential payout
- $467.32
- Potential profit
- $285.07
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $53.55
Yes position
Will Puerto Rico win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $460
- Potential profit
- $460
- User PnL
- -$3.77
Yes position
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $370
- User PnL
- -$9.99
Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $350.02
- Potential profit
- $350.02
- User PnL
- -$20.08
Yes position
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 Masters tournament?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $330
- Potential profit
- $330
- User PnL
- -$19.14
Yes position
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $230
- Potential profit
- $230
- User PnL
- -$25.3
Yes position
Will the Florida Panthers make the NHL Playoffs?
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $164.17
- Potential profit
- $164.17
- User PnL
- -$13.34
Yes position
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Yes position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $130.62
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- $4.65
Yes position
Will Bahrain strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $140
- Potential profit
- $140
- User PnL
- -$20.11
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$35.7
Yes position
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $110
- Potential profit
- $110
- User PnL
- -$9.61
Yes position
Will the US strike Iran next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $80
- Potential profit
- $80
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $75
- User PnL
- -$18.75
Yes position
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.98
- Potential profit
- $74.98
- User PnL
- -$16.25
Yes position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74.08
- Potential profit
- $74.08
- User PnL
- -$25.93
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $65
- User PnL
- -$12.6
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $60
- User PnL
- -$22.8
Dominican Rep. position
Final Stage: Dominican Rep. vs. USA
Ends Mar 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $56.89
- Potential profit
- $56.89
- User PnL
- -$22.77
Rockets position
Rockets vs. Lakers
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $53.15
- Potential profit
- $53.15
- User PnL
- -$19.62
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$13.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $267.59
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $265.78
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.46
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.96
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $174.07
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $149.4
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.5
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $97.46
Yes position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.2
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $84
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.58x
- User PnL
- $83.77
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $83.62
Timberwolves position
Thunder vs. Timberwolves
Ends Feb 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.17
Heat position
Heat vs. Hornets
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $71.06
Bears position
Packers vs. Bears
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.4
Yes position
Kristi Noem out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.9
Yes position
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.52
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.4
Yes position
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.59
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.3
Yes position
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.03
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.98
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.67
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?Yes 3.4% 140 shares
- Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?Yes 33.2% 157.33 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?Yes 57% 30 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 38% 111.31 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 35.9% 111.31 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 22.8% 403.83 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 43% 53.49 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 29.5% 338.44 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?Yes 5.1% 166.87 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 20.2% 124.94 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes 29% 64.68 shares