Yes position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $106.91K
- Potential profit
- $106.91K
- User PnL
- -$5K
Polymarket Trader
fedupferret
0xfe23f3506b5aa11e0f4df534faf641433064937b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $11.8K
- Realized PnL
- $4.48K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $8.12K
- Potential payout
- $8.97K
- Potential profit
- $852.56
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.12K
Yes position
Netanyahu out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.75K
- Potential profit
- $3.75K
- User PnL
- -$150
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $1.59K
- Potential payout
- $2.42K
- Potential profit
- $835.95
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $87.1
Yes position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $9.38
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.24K
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$140.63
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $161.68
- Potential payout
- $873.94
- Potential profit
- $712.26
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$338.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $836.82
- Potential payout
- $866.27
- Potential profit
- $29.45
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $486.82
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Current value
- $257.21
- Potential payout
- $480.77
- Potential profit
- $223.56
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $7.21
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $324.68
- Potential profit
- $324.68
- User PnL
- -$250
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $307.56
- Potential payout
- $308.64
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- User PnL
- $57.56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $205.68
- Potential payout
- $227.27
- Potential profit
- $21.59
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $5.68
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $113.47
- Potential payout
- $125.38
- Potential profit
- $11.91
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $13.47
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $125
- Potential profit
- $125
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $112.36
- Potential profit
- $112.3
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$99.94
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $94.63
- Potential payout
- $106.38
- Potential profit
- $11.76
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$5.37
No position
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $102.35
- Potential payout
- $104.38
- Potential profit
- $2.04
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $836.39
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $395.37
No position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $315.74
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.55
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.31
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.79
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Brazilian Grand Prix?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $160
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $122.9
Yes position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $112.57
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $101.18
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.22
No position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $85.8
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.92
No position
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.53
Yes position
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37
No position
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.93
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.8
No position
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.67
No position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.24
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.28
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 33% 757.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 88% 227.27 shares
- Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?No 77% 324.68 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No 80% 125 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?No 89% 112.36 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 94% 106.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No 79.8% 125.38 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 92% 108.7 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No 89% 112.36 shares
- Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?Yes 91% 109.89 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 94.4% 100 shares
- Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes 52% 480.77 shares