Polymarket Trader

18Eliran

0xfe321e4b826ee23fda95e2673933cb5a2d891a05

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $16.6
Realized PnL: -$63.09
Win rate: 55.6%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 18
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $16.6
Potential payout: $1.04K
Potential profit: $1.02K
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $114.02
Potential profit: $114.02
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.51
Potential profit: $105.51
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.44
Potential profit: $4.44
User PnL: -$2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.86
Potential profit: $2.86
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $1.79
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.47
Potential profit: $1.47
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $35.22

Yes position

Israeli forces cross the Litani River again by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.54

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.11

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.93

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.82

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.29

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.94

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10.62

Yes position

Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: -$11.64

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$13.58

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$32.45

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$65.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Vance shake hands with an Iranian official by June 20?

Yes 1.9% 1,037.21 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 16.9% 227.27 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 22.2% 384.61 shares
Will Abbas Araghchi attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 13% 384.62 shares
Will Steve Witkoff attend the US-Iran Signing Ceremony?

Yes 22% 227.27 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 28.57 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 6% 73.69 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 56% 28.57 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 15?

Yes 52.8% 15.15 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 24.4% 73.7 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?

Yes 4.7% 105.51 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 13?

Yes 0.6% 91.08 shares