Polymarket Trader

Mariogrrode

0xfe3bdee320fb32d92ea8a2b7e82f6ccb2ab3025b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $136.07
Realized PnL: $1.29K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mona Juul be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.7K
Potential profit: $2.7K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Inger Støjberg be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.14K
Potential profit: $2.14K
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $1.36K
User PnL: -$23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $996.41
Potential profit: $996.41
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $5.38
Potential payout: $896.67
Potential profit: $891.29
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$43.04

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $803.42
Potential profit: $803.42
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.7%
Current value: $85.31
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $539.69
Multiplier: 7.33x
User PnL: -$14.69

Yes position

Will Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.5
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Mugur Isărescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$1.25

Yes position

Will Sebastian Burduja be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Dominic Fritz be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.25
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $496.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $322.12
Potential profit: $322.12
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $199.7
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$1.7

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Italy / Vatican before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $198.6
Multiplier: 142.86x
User PnL: $0.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $190.3
Potential profit: $190.3
User PnL: -$11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $183.33
Potential profit: $183.33
User PnL: -$3

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $168.85
Potential profit: $168.85
User PnL: -$8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $157.78
Potential profit: $157.78
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Emil Boc be the next Prime Minister of Romania?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $156.69
Potential profit: $156.61
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.92

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $30.38
Potential payout: $153.85
Potential profit: $123.46
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $10.38

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Ukraine before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.14
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$0.29

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.67
Potential profit: $142.67
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $734.05

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.68

Yes position

Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.23

No position

Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.27

Yes position

Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $18.08

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.05

Yes position

Will "FJORD by Cristian MUNGIU" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.93

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.73

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.35

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 6% 16.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 2% 50 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 3% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 16% 6.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET

Up 14% 7.14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Down 62% 1.61 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Up 16% 62.5 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Up 30% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 24% 4.17 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Up 37% 13.51 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET

Up 37% 2.7 shares