Polymarket Trader

0xFE41e6fC51a57520aaA18E15eaF665C1801c556C-1779368968776

0xfe41e6fc51a57520aaa18e15eaf665c1801c556c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.02K
Realized PnL: $4.83K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $12.85
Potential payout: $8.57K
Potential profit: $8.56K
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$6.61K

No position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 94.6%
Current value: $4.93K
Potential payout: $5.21K
Potential profit: $284.2
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$69.57

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $5.08K
Potential payout: $5.19K
Potential profit: $108.98
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $340.71

No position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.1K
Potential profit: $5.1K
User PnL: -$4.1K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$1.73K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $388.51
Potential profit: $388.51
User PnL: -$150

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $317
Potential profit: $317
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $128.21
Potential profit: $128.21
User PnL: -$50

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.45
Potential profit: $70.45
User PnL: -$6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.13K

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $371.6

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $349.24

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $310.89

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.77

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.82

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $242.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.41

No position

Israel closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.86

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.19

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.29

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $141.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.46

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $114.43

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.57

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $83.82

No position

Israel closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on May 22?

Ends May 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.17

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 96.9% 2,064.22 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

No 95.2% 3,150.4 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.9% 2,971.95 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

No 99.3% 5,943.91 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 22.5% 975.72 shares
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 81.6% 484.14 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 99.5% 400 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 88% 1,130.87 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 87.4% 558.24 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 87.1% 574.35 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 87.4% 1,030.15 shares
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?

No 86.9% 626.99 shares