Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.88K
- Potential profit
- $33.88K
- User PnL
- -$1.29K
Polymarket Trader
RewardsPeasant
0xfe4a60f991f8a488bf395a4af2b2bfd38453ac42
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.13
- Realized PnL
- $148.07K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $6K
- User PnL
- -$1.42K
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.34
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?
Ends Sep 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.98K
Yes position
Will Biden finish his term?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.06K
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22K
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.08K
No position
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" during Elon interview?
Ends Aug 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.21K
No position
Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11K
Yes position
Biden drops out by July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.18K
No position
Will Kamala Harris say "Abortion" during CNN interview?
Ends Aug 29, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.46K
No position
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21K
Kamala position
Favorite to win on Polymarket day after debate?
Ends Sep 11, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.16K
Yes position
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.68K
Yes position
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.15K
No position
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX's Super Heavy?
Ends Nov 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.9K
No position
Will Tim Walz say "Weird "or "Weirdo" during the debate?
Ends Oct 1, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.85K
Yes position
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.78K
No position
Will Israel invade Lebanon in September?
Ends Sep 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.61K
No position
Will ≥10% of Votes go to 3rd Party Candidates in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.46K
No position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?
Ends Jun 27, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38K
Yes position
Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?
Ends Jan 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23K
Yes position
Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.11K
Yes position
Caroline Ellison sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.99K
Yes position
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.89K
No position
Caroline Ellison not sentenced to prison?
Ends Sep 24, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.79K
No position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.57K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 3.1% 2,600 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 3% 3,139 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?Yes 2.7% 115.43 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes 48% 572.67 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 63% 7,849.3 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 63% 2,817.1 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes 91.6% 11,627.13 shares
- Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No 97.9% 10,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 13% 12,000 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 13% 621.42 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 37% 14,903.38 shares
- Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes 36% 1,748.69 shares