No position
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $5.67
- Potential payout
- $5.73
- Potential profit
- $0.06
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
iaejuan
0xfe4dc546b6c3062f7986b60e218e60a2380cebca
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $43.72
- Realized PnL
- $45.63
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $5.23
- Potential payout
- $5.26
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $4.82
- Potential payout
- $5.21
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $5.15
- Potential payout
- $5.16
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $4.97
- Potential payout
- $4.98
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.93
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.28
Yes position
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.9
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $3.51
- Potential payout
- $3.63
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $3.35
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.14
- Potential payout
- $3.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.14
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.42
- Potential payout
- $2.43
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.18
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $1.55
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.59
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 8?
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.57
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.32
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
No position
Will Trump say "Somalia" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.38
Yes position
Will Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.11
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
BitBoy convicted?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Yes position
Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Yes position
Will annual inflation increase by ≥2.8% in March?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 7 be between 70 and 80?
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be less than 16,500,000?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95.7% 6.27 shares
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?No 89% 5.21 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 86% 7.09 shares
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No 97.9% 5.01 shares
- Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?No 98.4% 4.07 shares
- Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?No 95.3% 3.15 shares
- Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No 96.4% 3.63 shares
- Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?No 91% 5.67 shares
- Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?No 97% 5.26 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No 96.9% 5.16 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No 95.1% 2.1 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?Yes 99.7% 3,295.29 shares