Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $84.31
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$83.67
Polymarket Trader
fenggepolvv
0xfe50bbd320599ce7b1e09b47a5234e7c3644720b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $581.71
- Realized PnL
- $356.83
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $128.14
- Potential payout
- $949.18
- Potential profit
- $821.04
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$48.54
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 27.9%
- Current value
- $124.06
- Potential payout
- $445.47
- Potential profit
- $321.4
- Multiplier
- 3.59x
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $52.34
- Potential payout
- $370.15
- Potential profit
- $317.81
- Multiplier
- 7.07x
- User PnL
- $16.08
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 44%
- Current value
- $99.04
- Potential payout
- $225.1
- Potential profit
- $126.05
- Multiplier
- 2.27x
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $21.84
- Potential payout
- $121.31
- Potential profit
- $99.47
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$33.66
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $120.25
- Potential profit
- $120.25
- User PnL
- -$28.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $33.95
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $36.05
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $8.05
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $61.95
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$3.15
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $12.9
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $47.1
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- -$3.3
No position
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $12.22
- Potential payout
- $59.62
- Potential profit
- $47.4
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$20.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Ends Apr 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24.85
- Potential profit
- $24.85
- User PnL
- -$10.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.19
- Potential profit
- $21.19
- User PnL
- -$10.87
No position
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $17.25
- Potential profit
- $15.26
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$8.92
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.71
- Potential profit
- $16.71
- User PnL
- -$3.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.93
- Potential profit
- $11.93
- User PnL
- -$2.97
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.88
- Potential profit
- $10.88
- User PnL
- -$2.84
No position
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.88
- Potential payout
- $10.87
- Potential profit
- $7.99
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$2.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.99
- Potential profit
- $9.99
- User PnL
- -$5.82
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.19
- Potential profit
- $9.19
- User PnL
- -$5.84
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.55
- Potential profit
- $8.55
- User PnL
- -$2.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.88
- Potential profit
- $7.88
- User PnL
- -$4.86
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.45
- Potential profit
- $7.45
- User PnL
- -$1.89
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.26
No position
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.6
No position
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.25
Yes position
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.1
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $22.94
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $20.4
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.65
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.93
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $13.95
No position
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $13.31
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $13.3
No position
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.67
No position
Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.9
No position
Katana FDV above $200M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.9
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.71
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Machado by January 16?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.85
No position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.1
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.28
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.04
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 49.31 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 12% 66.67 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 16% 50 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.4% 49.45 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 11.11 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 11.9 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 18% 33.33 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 46.15 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.3% 16.48 shares
- Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?No 49.3% 21.97 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?Yes 13% 20 shares
- Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes 15% 66.67 shares