Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86%
- Current value
- $61.43
- Potential payout
- $71.43
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Polymarket Trader
ThunderRuins
0xfe5774cb8144e8f2892c7e57e969e7e9e4569057
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $61.43
- Realized PnL
- $36.89
- Win rate
- 88.2%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 17
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$3.47
Heat position
Heat vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.58
- Potential profit
- $6.58
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.64
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
Yes position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.08
Yes position
Will DtMF be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Thunder position
Knicks vs. Thunder
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 91% 71.43 shares
- Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes 59% 84.49 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 98.9% 48.53 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 94% 19.78 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes 91% 19.78 shares
- Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?Yes 98.7% 18.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.7% 18.65 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 96.5% 18.65 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.3% 18.94 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95% 18.95 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.1% 18.75 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96% 18.75 shares