No position
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 77%
- Current value
- $439.88
- Potential payout
- $571.27
- Potential profit
- $131.39
- Multiplier
- 1.30x
- User PnL
- $66.66
Polymarket Trader
0xfE5bDb4E99c637C53a7EEa83ea1e6B72Da6ABabF-1764764006251
0xfe5bdb4e99c637c53a7eea83ea1e6b72da6ababf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.05K
- Realized PnL
- $1.06K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 96%
- Current value
- $334.67
- Potential payout
- $348.61
- Potential profit
- $13.94
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $72.29
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $134.43
- Potential profit
- $134.43
- User PnL
- -$30.89
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $93.32
- Potential payout
- $118.13
- Potential profit
- $24.81
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $37.32
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.71
- Potential profit
- $71.71
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $64.29
- Potential profit
- $64.29
- User PnL
- -$45
No position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Current value
- $30.64
- Potential payout
- $61.28
- Potential profit
- $30.64
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $6.12
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $42.3
- Potential profit
- $42.3
- User PnL
- -$32.33
No position
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $35.89
- Potential payout
- $37.97
- Potential profit
- $2.09
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $5.89
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 62.5%
- Current value
- $22.73
- Potential payout
- $36.37
- Potential profit
- $13.64
- Multiplier
- 1.60x
- User PnL
- $2.73
No position
Will Aristotle self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $20.8
- Potential payout
- $35.56
- Potential profit
- $14.76
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $0.8
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34.53
- Potential profit
- $34.53
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.9%
- Current value
- $18.54
- Potential payout
- $26.92
- Potential profit
- $8.39
- Multiplier
- 1.45x
- User PnL
- -$1.46
No position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.64
- Potential profit
- $25.64
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25.61
- Potential profit
- $25.61
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.9%
- Current value
- $21.7
- Potential payout
- $24.69
- Potential profit
- $2.99
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Elon Musk go on Joe Rogan before June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $18.22
- Potential payout
- $21.06
- Potential profit
- $2.84
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $8.22
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.08
- Potential profit
- $20.08
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 25 - 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $10.91
- Potential payout
- $18.03
- Potential profit
- $7.12
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.09
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.01
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.69
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.3
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.34
Yes position
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.37
Nothing position
Nothing Ever Happens: May
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.44
No position
Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.81
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49.3
No position
Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.8
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.88
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.51
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - 19?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.43
Yes position
Will Frenchie die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.64
No position
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $25.39
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.47
No position
Will Trump meet with Elon Musk by December 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.12
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from April 6 - 12?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.13
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.78
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.46
No position
Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.08
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.28
No position
Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.05
No position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.73
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.54
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?Yes 22% 13.64 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-06-19?Yes 61% 18.03 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 49% 31.36 shares
- Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No 81% 58.22 shares
- Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?No 96.2% 49.43 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 72.7% 37.04 shares
- Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No 96.7% 28.15 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 73% 36.01 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No 98.4% 27.02 shares
- Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?No 67.5% 38.46 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 1.8% 369.29 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 6% 66.66 shares