Yes position
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$210
Polymarket Trader
Provably
0xfe754e6f081d09a9775e0aa558104974f43bc2b1
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.37K
- Realized PnL
- $1.77K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$234.24
No position
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63%
- Current value
- $630
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $370
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $270
No position
Epstein client list released by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $728.15
- Potential payout
- $739.99
- Potential profit
- $11.84
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $108.16
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.98
- Potential profit
- $184.98
- User PnL
- -$70.22
Yes position
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $3.59
- Potential payout
- $19.38
- Potential profit
- $15.8
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$0.87
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 81.6%
- Current value
- $5.6
- Potential payout
- $6.87
- Potential profit
- $1.27
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $3.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
Yes position
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $157.66
No position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.99
No position
Steve Bannon exonerated by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.78
Yes position
Will 290 to 319 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.3
Yes position
Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.86
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.83
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.91
No position
Will the US strike 6 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.05
Yes position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 6, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
No position
Will Iran take military action against a Gulf State on April 9, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30
No position
Will fewer than 140 tornadoes occur in the United States in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.59
No position
Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.95
Yes position
Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.3
Yes position
Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.13
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
Ends Apr 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by 3-6%?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.36
No position
Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.07
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Apr 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.15
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump kiss by May 31?No 38% 184.98 shares
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 93% 65 shares
- Will Ashley Barrett die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 91% 5 shares
- Will Hughie Campbell die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 98% 53.32 shares
- Will Soldier Boy die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 95.9% 389.12 shares
- Will Annie January (Starlight) die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 96% 10 shares
- Will Ryan Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 96.1% 179.18 shares
- Will Mother's Milk die in "The Boys: Season 5"?No 93.6% 17 shares
- Will Billy Butcher die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 97% 41 shares
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 91% 13 shares
- Will Homelander die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 97% 11 shares
- Will The Deep die in "The Boys: Season 5"?Yes 87.3% 111.43 shares