No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $32.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
0xfE8fB65eA1F38B51B7C585bBdB5865A0034a3076-1768746218726
0xfe8fb65ea1f38b51b7c585bbdb5865a0034a3076
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.67
- Realized PnL
- $128.5
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.58
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $23.19
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.42
No position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $23.24
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.99
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $22.22
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98%
- Current value
- $15.91
- Potential payout
- $16.25
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.91
Yes position
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Current value
- $5.08
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $10.55
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.12
- Potential profit
- $11.12
- User PnL
- -$1.01
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.3%
- Current value
- $10.39
- Potential payout
- $10.91
- Potential profit
- $0.52
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.39
Yes position
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.52
- Potential profit
- $9.52
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 56.5%
- Current value
- $4.87
- Potential payout
- $8.62
- Potential profit
- $3.75
- Multiplier
- 1.77x
- User PnL
- -$0.13
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $1.61
- Potential payout
- $8.47
- Potential profit
- $6.86
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- $0.61
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.33
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.41
- Potential profit
- $7.41
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Australia win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $7.14
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.45
- Potential profit
- $6.45
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.81
- Potential profit
- $5.81
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?
Ends Jun 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Current value
- $5.21
- Potential payout
- $5.39
- Potential profit
- $0.18
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.7
- Potential profit
- $3.7
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.45
- Potential profit
- $3.45
- User PnL
- -$1
Australia position
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $2.38
- User PnL
- -$1
Team Falcons position
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy (BO5) - CS Asia Championships Playoffs
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32
- Potential profit
- $1.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $11.87
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.02
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.69
No position
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $7.59
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.68
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.63
Y
Yes position
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.33
Belgium position
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $4.59
Yes position
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.25
Yes position
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-09?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.69
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.49
Switzerland position
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.44
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No 37.3% 18.51 shares
- Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?No 27% 18.52 shares
- Exact Score: France 0 - 2 Spain?Yes 13.1% 7.63 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 13?No 77.9% 21.66 shares
- Exact Score: France 1 - 0 Spain?Yes 9% 22.22 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?Yes 96.3% 5.19 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes 93% 5.38 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 90% 6.58 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 9?No 17.2% 23.26 shares
- Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 12?Yes 79% 7.59 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes 92% 5.43 shares
- Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes 92% 5.43 shares