Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.35K
- Potential profit
- $14.35K
- User PnL
- -$120.99
Polymarket Trader
Trenchstar
0xfe9e332a78809a730f78a241e2c383cc51a16944
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.42K
- Realized PnL
- $692.82
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
Ends Aug 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $2.76K
- Potential payout
- $3.73K
- Potential profit
- $969.91
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $698.58
No position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.07K
- User PnL
- -$520
Yes position
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Current value
- $274.65
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $781.7
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- -$73.35
No position
Starmer out by June 22, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601.25
- Potential profit
- $601.25
- User PnL
- -$255.43
Yes position
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $102.35
- Potential payout
- $324.91
- Potential profit
- $222.56
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$50.65
Yes position
Will Richard Gordon Thomson win the 2026 Aberdeen South by-election?
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $215.59
- Potential profit
- $215.59
- User PnL
- -$149.46
No position
Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $99.95
- Potential payout
- $210.42
- Potential profit
- $110.47
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Up position
SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $66.92
- Potential payout
- $196.83
- Potential profit
- $129.9
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$57.08
Knicks position
Spurs vs. Knicks
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $184.27
- Potential profit
- $184.27
- User PnL
- -$101.35
Yes position
Will Rob Adkerson be the Republican nominee for GA-11?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.37
- Potential profit
- $146.37
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $112.68
- Potential payout
- $141.74
- Potential profit
- $29.06
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $12.68
Milwaukee Brewers position
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $124.32
- Potential profit
- $124.32
- User PnL
- -$50
Yes position
Will Alex Zdan be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $103.51
- Potential profit
- $103.51
- User PnL
- -$59
Milwaukee Brewers position
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $86.21
- Potential profit
- $86.21
- User PnL
- -$50
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Chris Rabb be the Democratic nominee for PA-03?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.12
Yes position
Will Adam Hamawy be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $132.55
Yes position
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by less than 5%?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.93
Yes position
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.26
Milwaukee Brewers position
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.21
Pablo Carreno Busta position
Roland Garros ATP: Thanasi Kokkinakis vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.85
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.47
Yes position
Will Marcello Comanducci win the 2026 Arezzo mayoral election?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.62
Jakub Mensik position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.95
Milwaukee Brewers position
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.14
No position
Will Pamela Evette win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Governor Primary by more than 10%?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69
Yes position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.06
No position
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
NBA Finals: Timothee Chalamet to attend all Knicks Home Games?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Jake Paul attend UFC Freedom 250?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Rick Jackson win the 2026 Georgia Governor Republican primary election?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Yes position
Will Claire Valdez be the Democratic nominee for NY-07?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$1.47
No position
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.88
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.14
Yes position
Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$4.77
Yes position
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.01
Yes position
Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.98
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 47% 354.36 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 28% 336.41 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes 39% 207.17 shares
- Starmer out by June 22, 2026?No 36% 246.89 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 1.2% 66.62 shares
- Will Adrian Veștea be the next Prime Minister of Romania?No 74.3% 122.98 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 5-10%?Yes 41% 207.17 shares
- Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?No 51.2% 172.75 shares
- Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election by 0-5%?Yes 28.2% 336.42 shares
- Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 35.7% 414.51 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No 15% 66.62 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 68.1% 124.43 shares