No position
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $2.34K
- Potential payout
- $2.73K
- Potential profit
- $396.08
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$145.44
Polymarket Trader
Clankerpac
0xfe9e566464bcdee6bcf2c46089830187e2d900de
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.35K
- Realized PnL
- $4.41K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $348.48
- Potential profit
- $348.48
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $18.9
- Potential payout
- $18.93
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $8.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.9K
Yes position
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
Ends Nov 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.03K
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07K
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $478.3
US position
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $290.82
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.64
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$15.31
Yes position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$38.99
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112.76
No position
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$137.99
Yes position
Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$249.37
Yes position
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1K
Yes position
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3.01K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 6% 166.67 shares
- Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?Yes 11% 181.82 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 25% 454.54 shares
- Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?Yes 22% 454.55 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 0.5% 10,000 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 1.5% 4,093.39 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 88.7% 143.76 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 89.5% 858.87 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 90.6% 324.71 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 91.2% 3,398.94 shares
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?No 88.9% 660 shares
- Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes 83.1% 2,106.66 shares