Polymarket Trader

randomfrog

0xfea20d5cbf17ad33b4df08a8896707bb5b68c61c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $14.23
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: 0%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $3.75
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $246.25
Multiplier: 66.67x
User PnL: $1.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $245.13
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: $3.63

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.13
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $249.88
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200.01
Potential profit: $200.01
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$9.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $173.26
Potential profit: $173.26
User PnL: -$27.36

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $149.38
Potential profit: $144.15
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: $2.24

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$0.1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 13% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 18% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 20% 200 shares
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 16% 137.5 shares
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 2% 21.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 4% 43.27 shares
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 7% 42.98 shares
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 8% 41.11 shares
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 4.1% 74.8 shares
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 1.3% 32.43 shares
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Yes 0.5% 100 shares