Polymarket Trader

ndb1

0xfea31bc088000ff909be1dfd8d0e3f2c7ef2d227

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $4.04M
Realized PnL: $6.12M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 88.3%
Current value: $3.49M
Potential payout: $3.95M
Potential profit: $464.39K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: -$71.91K

Yes position

Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $91.11
Potential payout: $182.22K
Potential profit: $182.13K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.71K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $84.21K
Potential payout: $90.07K
Potential profit: $5.85K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $7.06K

No position

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.1%
Current value: $82.25K
Potential payout: $88.34K
Potential profit: $6.1K
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$2.29K

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $81.78K
Potential payout: $85.63K
Potential profit: $3.85K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $4.38K

No position

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $12.25K
Potential payout: $50K
Potential profit: $37.75K
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $2.25K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.4%
Current value: $41.48K
Potential payout: $43.05K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $800.72

St. Louis Cardinals position

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $14.31K
Potential payout: $38.16K
Potential profit: $23.85K
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: -$2.16K

No position

Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $16.12K
Potential payout: $36.22K
Potential profit: $20.1K
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: $3.08K

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $34.94K
Potential payout: $35.95K
Potential profit: $1.01K
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $523.96

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.9%
Current value: $30.21K
Potential payout: $30.88K
Potential profit: $663.85
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $396.7

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $190,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $29.27K
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $735
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $302.76

Boston Red Sox position

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $13.7K
Potential payout: $29.79K
Potential profit: $16.09K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $694.34

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $180,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $24.51K
Potential payout: $25.22K
Potential profit: $706.09
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $141.29

Cincinnati Reds position

Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 72.5%
Current value: $14.5K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $5.5K
Multiplier: 1.38x
User PnL: $3.27K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97%
Current value: $19.35K
Potential payout: $19.96K
Potential profit: $608.77
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $349.73

Soto position

MLB: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto to draw more walks?

Ends Sep 28, 2026

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $13.07K
Potential payout: $15.37K
Potential profit: $2.31K
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $8.89K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $11.6K
Potential payout: $11.83K
Potential profit: $230.76
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $1.92

No position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $10.87K
Potential payout: $10.88K
Potential profit: $16.32
User PnL: $128.91

New York Yankees position

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 52%
Current value: $4.93K
Potential payout: $9.47K
Potential profit: $4.55K
Multiplier: 1.92x
User PnL: $1.79K

Tampa Bay Rays position

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $5.74K
Potential payout: $8.63K
Potential profit: $2.89K
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $56.29

No position

Will Portugal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.74K
Potential payout: $8.39K
Potential profit: $3.65K
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: $844.74

No position

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $1.78K
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $2.72K
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $112.59

Yes position

Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Ends Oct 11, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $3.43K
Potential profit: $1.83K
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: -$497.19

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $756.96K

Yes position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $712.26K

No position

Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $676.36K

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $552.82K

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.11K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $354.48K

No position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $300K

Arizona Wildcats position

Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $224.47K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?

Ends Apr 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $217.16K

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.4K

Under position

Devils vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200K

No position

Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.97K

Yes position

Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.3K

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.25K

No position

Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.95K

No position

Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-18?

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.89K

No position

Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-23?

Ends Apr 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.92K

Yes position

Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.35K

Under position

Heat vs. Raptors: O/U 238.5

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104K

Under position

Manchester City FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100K

No position

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100K

Under position

Bulls vs. Spurs: O/U 245.5

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100K

No position

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100K

No position

Will OGC Nice win on 2026-04-12?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 1.3% 328 shares
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 1.3% 3,638.29 shares
Will 1+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 99.5% 140 shares
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?

No 85% 95,739.77 shares
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 150,000 shares
Ghana vs. Panama: O/U 2.5

Under 59% 97,137.43 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 35,044.66 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 3,151.46 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 3,116.34 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 3,099.99 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 2,049.01 shares
Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17?

No 96.8% 5,067 shares