Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.42K
- Potential profit
- $10.42K
- User PnL
- -$10.42
Polymarket Trader
OlCeeBee
0xfea4595315714cd8a8a42c678665d94851e9f07b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $464.81
- Realized PnL
- $303.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Taylor Swift be the #2 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Government shutdown end October 1-2?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $5K
- User PnL
- -$55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4K
- Potential profit
- $4K
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $3K
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will BigFuture School be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $5.85
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $894.15
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $727
- Potential profit
- $727
- User PnL
- -$21.43
Yes position
Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?
Ends Nov 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $607.17
- Potential profit
- $607.17
- User PnL
- -$23.68
Yes position
Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $518.41
- Potential profit
- $518.41
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 9.8%
- Current value
- $48.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $451.25
- Multiplier
- 10.26x
- User PnL
- $38.75
Yes position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $4.42
- Potential payout
- $421.39
- Potential profit
- $416.96
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$10.58
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $352.94
- Potential profit
- $352.94
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $43.44
- Potential payout
- $310.32
- Potential profit
- $266.88
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- $3.44
No position
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99%
- Current value
- $301.08
- Potential payout
- $304.27
- Potential profit
- $3.19
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $1.08
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.1%
- Current value
- $47.95
- Potential payout
- $298.76
- Potential profit
- $250.81
- Multiplier
- 6.23x
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Yes position
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Current value
- $13.31
- Potential payout
- $235.62
- Potential profit
- $222.31
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- -$36.69
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $212.5
- Potential profit
- $212.5
- User PnL
- -$17
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Trump strikes another drug boat by Oct 15?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $97.99
Yes position
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $23
Yes position
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $19.99
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.67
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.79
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.8
No position
US strikes Yemen by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.19
Yes position
Will Richard Seymour win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.26
No position
Will Trump pardon Young Thug in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.85
Yes position
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $9.52
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.42
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
Ends Oct 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will LeBron James be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.68
No position
Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $800M and $1B?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.38
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.9
No position
Will the US add more than 125k jobs in September?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.65
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Tylenol sues Trump by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will No Other Choice win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.73
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Costco increases hotdog price before 2027?No 94% 53.19 shares
- Will Trump say "Gay" in June?No 50% 10 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes 90% 166.67 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?Yes 3.6% 421.39 shares
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by June 30?No 98.6% 304.27 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 85% by June 30?Yes 31.8% 116.99 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 96.8% 400 shares
- Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 900 shares
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 0.6% 830 shares
- Will John Ratcliffe be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes 0.9% 740.63 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No 95% 315.79 shares
- Will Mohammed bin Salman wear a suit and tie by Thursday?Yes 3.9% 607.17 shares