Polymarket Trader

ToTheMoonAndBack

0xfea6037784c1b5e80abfbe8108c42a780f21a363

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $740.05
Realized PnL: $6.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.7K
Potential profit: $7.7K
User PnL: -$1.07K

No position

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $732.28
Potential payout: $4.18K
Potential profit: $3.45K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$2.07K

Yes position

Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $7.77
Potential payout: $3.11K
Potential profit: $3.1K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$92.23

Yes position

Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.01K
Potential profit: $3.01K
User PnL: -$71

Yes position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $1.2K
User PnL: -$406.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.05
Potential profit: $885.05
User PnL: -$200

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $714.29
Potential profit: $714.29
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $588.24
Potential profit: $588.24
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $384.62
Potential profit: $384.62
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $336.15
Potential profit: $336.15
User PnL: -$40.7

Yes position

Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.18
Potential profit: $262.18
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will the US strike Iran next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$7.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.73
Potential profit: $11.73
User PnL: -$4.93

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.69K

Yes position

Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $665.44

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $201.14

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.58

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.87

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.41

Yes position

France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $103.49

Yes position

Will Israel strike Iran on Friday Oct 25?

Ends Oct 25, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92

Yes position

Trump inauguration gets more viewers than Biden's?

Ends Jan 20, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $89.34

Yes position

Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?

Ends Jan 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.35

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.77

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57

Yes position

Iran ballistic missile strike on Israel by Friday?

Ends Jun 14, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.5

Yes position

Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.12

Yes position

U.S. military action against Iran in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.11

No position

Will there be a US Government shutdown?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.33

No position

Iran strike on Israel by Nov 8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.7

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio be a member of the Trump administration?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.34

No position

Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.9

No position

Iran strike on Israel before December?

Ends Nov 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.97

Yes position

Will the U.S. strike Fordow nuclear facility before July?

Ends Jul 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.47

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $26.35

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.07

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 41.9% 176.52 shares
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 0.2% 3,006.71 shares
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 2.7% 37.05 shares
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 3.2% 3,106.67 shares
Will Ali Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

Yes 6.9% 576.38 shares
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?

Yes 27% 185.19 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 62% 322.58 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 6.9% 700 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 9.1% 200 shares
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Yes 10.8% 1,852.59 shares
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

No 77.7% 257.4 shares
Will Sadegh Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?

Yes 2.6% 3,837.34 shares