Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 28%
- Current value
- $8.96
- Potential payout
- $32
- Potential profit
- $23.04
- Multiplier
- 3.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Polymarket Trader
Bitcoinas
0xfea8e63429cf967b9bdf58b96ac6376a91a3383d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $48.57
- Realized PnL
- $223.61
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $10.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $14.63
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 44.5%
- Current value
- $10.24
- Potential payout
- $23
- Potential profit
- $12.77
- Multiplier
- 2.25x
- User PnL
- $1.03
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13
- Potential profit
- $13
- User PnL
- -$4.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 2.56x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 42°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $12
- User PnL
- -$4.56
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $4.35
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $6.66
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.8
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $8
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$2.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $1.98
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $3.03
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.05
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.99
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.57
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.52
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.24
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.7
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.68
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.4
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.12
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.01
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
Ends Mar 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Mar 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.25
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 15?Yes 38% 12 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 15?Yes 29% 32 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 40°C on July 15?Yes 40% 23 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on July 15?Yes 36% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 15?Yes 38% 25 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 15?Yes 37% 11 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 14?Yes 48% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 14?Yes 58% 8 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 14?Yes 65% 7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?Yes 43% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on July 14?Yes 69% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on July 14?Yes 35% 13 shares