Yes position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $4.2
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $19.8
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0.36
Polymarket Trader
0xfead...d81b
0xfead02b949a4550f647ea34f54093dcca0a9d81b
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $54.39
- Realized PnL
- -$21.08
- Win rate
- 11.1%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $24
- Potential profit
- $16.56
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$12.48
Yes position
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34%
- Current value
- $5.1
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $9.9
- Multiplier
- 2.94x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $12.38
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $2.63
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $10.92
- Potential payout
- $12
- Potential profit
- $1.08
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0.84
Yes position
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $1.85
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $7.16
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $9
- Potential profit
- $8.97
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$1.84
No position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Current value
- $0.37
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $6.63
- Multiplier
- 19.05x
- User PnL
- -$0.33
No position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $6.06
- Potential payout
- $7
- Potential profit
- $0.95
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $1.62
No position
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $5.59
- Potential payout
- $6
- Potential profit
- $0.41
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.18
Yes position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.48
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.52
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $8.92
Yes position
Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Multiplier
- 66.67x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- -$0.07
Yes position
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.7%
- Multiplier
- 2.10x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Yes position
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Yes position
China coup attempt before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.8%
- Multiplier
- 26.32x
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Yes position
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$16.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 21% 9 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 83% 6 shares
- Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?Yes 3.4% 30 shares
- China coup attempt before 2027?No 96.8% 5 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?No 84% 9 shares
- Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?Yes 16% 24 shares
- Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes 45.7% 5 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 93.3% 8 shares
- Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Yes 21% 34 shares
- Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?No 92.9% 8 shares
- Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes 79% 9 shares
- Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?Yes 20% 5 shares