Polymarket Trader

Reliccce

0xfeb7d72c6f1ba1e8c39aede9de6a39840679d12c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $47.01
Realized PnL: $198.28
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $255.56
Potential profit: $255.56
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.09
Potential payout: $174.24
Potential profit: $174.16
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1.91

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.64
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.21
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.36

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $142.86
Potential profit: $142.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.62
Potential payout: $94.83
Potential profit: $94.21
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$1.41

Yes position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $9.32
Potential payout: $76.06
Potential profit: $66.74
Multiplier: 8.16x
User PnL: -$3.36

No position

US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.28
Potential profit: $59.28
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 33.5%
Current value: $17.31
Potential payout: $51.67
Potential profit: $34.36
Multiplier: 2.99x
User PnL: -$1.05

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40.31
Potential profit: $40.31
User PnL: -$8.6

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.21
Potential payout: $37.67
Potential profit: $37.46
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$2.46

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.43
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$3.02

No position

No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.49
Potential payout: $35
Potential profit: $33.51
Multiplier: 23.53x
User PnL: -$0.71

No position

Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.84
Potential profit: $34.84
User PnL: -$1.08

Yes position

Will Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship?

Ends Jan 25, 2027

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $4.5
Potential payout: $34.65
Potential profit: $30.14
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: -$0.61

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $34.29
User PnL: -$4.2

No position

Iran successfully targets shipping by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.88
Potential profit: $30.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $2.55
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $27.45
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$7.35

Yes position

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.43
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $6.6
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $23.4
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 7?

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $28.03
Potential profit: $26.49
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$5.01

No position

Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.67
Potential profit: $26.67
User PnL: -$4.5

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $23.81
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.65

Bulls position

Bucks vs. Bulls

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

Timberwolves position

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Heat position

Rockets vs. Heat

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.1

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.68

No position

Iran leadership change by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 83.5%
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $8.95

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
User PnL: $8.86

No position

Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.2

Yes position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.63

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.54

No position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.14

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.78

Yes position

US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.72

No position

US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 39.6%
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $6.22

No position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.16

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $6.07

Jets position

Blues vs. Jets

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

paiN position

Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.62

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.5%
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $5.03

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

Yes position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.82

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by September 30?

No 49% 1.38 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

No 15.3% 40.1 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?

No 72% 1.38 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 5 shares
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026?

No 62% 5 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 76% 3.75 shares
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 27?

No 1% 12.28 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 5 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?

No 69% 3.75 shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 84% 2.75 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 15, 2026?

Yes 64% 5 shares