No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
Polymarket Trader
elonmaskovitch
0xfeb9322067a789c27eb924c524f5cad905126467
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $19.39
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.3
Yes position
Will Trump say "Russia" or "China" 4+ times during C5+1 Summit on November 6?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
No position
Will the Government shutdown end October 31-November 3?
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
Ends May 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia before June?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 37.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?
Ends Sep 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid ship Handala by Saturday?
Ends Jul 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?
Ends Jul 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.25-3.50 in July?
Ends Aug 12, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be named in newly released Epstein files?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.07
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 12 - January 18 be less than 14,250,000?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Thailand strikes Cambodia by Friday?
Ends Jul 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes 53% 13.2 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?No 91% 30.01 shares
- Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?Yes 46% 114.26 shares
- Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026?No 64% 82.12 shares
- Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by March 31, 2026?No 70% 30.01 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.8% 1,449.94 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 78% 30.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes 24.7% 3.87 shares
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes 79.2% 30.45 shares
- Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?Yes 25.8% 3.88 shares
- Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?No 98.9% 1,449.95 shares
- Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 96.8% 1,479.87 shares