No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $47.47
- Potential payout
- $74.75
- Potential profit
- $27.28
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$6.35
Polymarket Trader
JimmyAus
0xfebf3f6ca46b861c6c8b7161a5359969ee5a5a66
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.47
- Realized PnL
- $14.04
- Win rate
- 64.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $14.99
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.69
No position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.18
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.22
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46
No position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.83
No position
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.67
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Multiplier
- 54.05x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$1.67
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.58
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 72% 74.75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 89% 55.72 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 44% 9.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 41% 10.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 59% 7.33 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 59% 7.34 shares
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes 45% 9.81 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 45.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94.2% 32.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 80% 25.24 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 93% 21.71 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No 82% 4.96 shares