Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.93K
- Potential profit
- $26.93K
- User PnL
- -$50.36
Polymarket Trader
Nanamo613
@nanachmosh
0xfecace78db874bf3c772d740c2f494c4f35af1ad
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $33.97
- Realized PnL
- $1.49K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $1.99K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $316.96
- Potential profit
- $316.96
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $1.6
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $198.4
- Multiplier
- 125.00x
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will Austria win on 2026-07-02?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$4
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $129
- Potential profit
- $129
- User PnL
- -$1.42
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $11.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $88.5
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5.7
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $61.66
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$4.16
Yes position
Will Gracie Abrams have a #1 hit in the US in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.59
- Potential profit
- $45.59
- User PnL
- -$0.46
Yes position
Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.99
- Potential profit
- $30.99
- User PnL
- -$5.27
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Secret" this week?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.99
- Potential profit
- $29.99
- User PnL
- -$1.17
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $4.85
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $24.56
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Y
Yes position
Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 33.5%
- Current value
- $9.84
- Potential payout
- $29.38
- Potential profit
- $19.53
- Multiplier
- 2.99x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Over position
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $21.43
- Potential profit
- $21.43
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $20.83
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$11.2
Under position
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.36
- Potential profit
- $18.36
- User PnL
- -$8
Yes position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $2.73
- Potential payout
- $15.63
- Potential profit
- $12.89
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.27
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $13.28
- Potential profit
- $13.28
- User PnL
- -$11.42
Over position
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.56
- Potential profit
- $9.56
- User PnL
- -$3.06
Alexander Zverev position
Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $3.23
- Potential profit
- $0.63
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.25
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $518.88
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $94.95
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
Ends Feb 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.29
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 22, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $51.09
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $45.97
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 28, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $36.94
Over position
Udinese Calcio vs. ACF Fiorentina: O/U 2.5
Ends Mar 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.69
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 20, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $34.6
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Pacers
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.82
Oklahoma Sooners position
Oklahoma Sooners vs. LSU Tigers
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.78
No position
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Flyers position
Flyers vs. Maple Leafs
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.19
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 5PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.7
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4PM ET
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.93
Yes position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.24
Stars position
Stars vs. Canucks
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.85
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.51
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $21.9
TheMongolz position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs
Ends Feb 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?No 99.9% 34.24 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 32% 15.63 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 0.7% 142.86 shares
- Will United States win on 2026-07-06?Yes 16% 31.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?Yes 31.7% 29.38 shares
- Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander ZverevAlexander Zverev 93% 3.23 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?No 77% 25.97 shares
- Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5Over 70% 21.43 shares
- Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?No 73% 34.25 shares
- Will Trump say "Maduro" this week?Yes 1.1% 3.47 shares
- Will Trump say "Secret" this week?Yes 3.9% 10 shares