Polymarket Trader

0xfED6911320f1927dCA327759B43036260DAb0859-1776524871038

0xfed6911320f1927dca327759b43036260dab0859

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $31.11
Realized PnL: $60.13
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $11.22
Potential payout: $24.39
Potential profit: $13.17
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: $1.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $2.34
Potential payout: $18.75
Potential profit: $16.41
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$3.66

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $18.18
Potential profit: $18.1
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $0.18
Potential payout: $15.43
Potential profit: $15.25
Multiplier: 86.96x
User PnL: -$0.82

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.87
Potential profit: $10.87
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $10.46
Potential payout: $10.75
Potential profit: $0.29
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $9.52
Potential profit: $8.43
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$4.9

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 11.5%
Current value: $0.44
Potential payout: $3.85
Potential profit: $3.4
Multiplier: 8.70x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $1.02
Potential payout: $2.27
Potential profit: $1.25
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 39%
Current value: $0.83
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $1.3
Multiplier: 2.56x
User PnL: -$0.17

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $0.95
Potential payout: $1.92
Potential profit: $0.97
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 31%
Current value: $0.57
Potential payout: $1.85
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 3.23x
User PnL: -$0.43

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 61%
Current value: $1.09
Potential payout: $1.79
Potential profit: $0.7
Multiplier: 1.64x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on June 24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.39
Potential profit: $1.39
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 69%
Current value: $0.82
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $0.37
Multiplier: 1.45x
User PnL: -$0.18

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.8

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.24

Yes position

Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.97

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.05

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on April 27?

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 24?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.58

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on April 26?

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends Apr 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.1

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 5°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 25?

Ends Apr 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Yes 84% 1.19 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?

Yes 47% 2.13 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 26?

No 56% 1.79 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 26?

Yes 26% 3.85 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 26?

No 52% 1.92 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 26?

Yes 44% 2.27 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

No 54% 1.85 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on June 25?

Yes 46% 11.76 shares
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 25?

Yes 41% 24.39 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 99% 10.1 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 94% 1.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Up 89% 1.12 shares