No position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $70.55
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $99.45
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$14.45
Polymarket Trader
RiftSeer
@MMike22577
0xfedecd3d5816a21b477c6d0eb71eaaf4f22c436d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $232.5
- Realized PnL
- $662.02
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $99.45
- Potential payout
- $170
- Potential profit
- $70.55
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- $14.45
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Current value
- $48.3
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $34.4
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 71%
- Current value
- $14.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $5.8
- Multiplier
- 1.41x
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump announce a Taiwan arms sales halt?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.63
No position
Will Trump announce a U.S.-China AI Safety Channel?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Lakers position
Kings vs. Lakers
Ends Dec 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $262.8
Pistons position
Pistons vs. Lakers
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $197.8
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $65.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36
Spurs position
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.2
Celtics position
76ers vs. Celtics
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10
No position
Will Trump announce AI export restrictions relief for China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.4
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Trump announce the release of detained Americans?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Trump announce new sanctions on China?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.27
Yes position
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Kazakhstan?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Ron Paul as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Solana reach $310 before 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Larry Kudlow as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Aristides Teixeira win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 27.8% 50 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes 67% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 99.6% 20 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?No 98.7% 20 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes 98% 10 shares
- Will voter turnout be between 85% and 90% in the 2026 Maltese general election?Yes 96.5% 10 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 86% 10 shares
- Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by May 31?Yes 94% 9.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 99.8% 10 shares
- Pistons vs. MagicPistons 60% 1,492.3 shares
- Lakers vs. RocketsLakers 45% 967 shares
- Cavaliers vs. RaptorsCavaliers 61% 1,660.22 shares