No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $11.06
- Potential payout
- $263.22
- Potential profit
- $252.17
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$8.71
Polymarket Trader
alvitlob
0xfefb9f9a6c5fc1edc42c3c846c438f4ac1d38f26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $129.81
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $54.1
- Potential payout
- $251.65
- Potential profit
- $197.54
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $4.1
No position
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $13.93
- Potential payout
- $146.67
- Potential profit
- $132.73
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$6.07
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Current value
- $50.71
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $92.14
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 31, 2026?No 7.5% 263.22 shares
- Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by July 17, 2026?No 13.6% 146.67 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No 19.9% 251.65 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?No 35% 142.86 shares