Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: Other
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.86
- Potential payout
- $286
- Potential profit
- $284.14
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $0.71
Polymarket Trader
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272
0xff12c076486622f6492023399a4e84d46dfbcdc4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $835.2
- Realized PnL
- $1.19K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $166.96
- Potential payout
- $197.58
- Potential profit
- $30.62
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $0.92
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $86.94
- Potential payout
- $101.68
- Potential profit
- $14.74
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $11.42
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- Current value
- $97.32
- Potential payout
- $98.25
- Potential profit
- $0.93
- User PnL
- $6.25
Yes position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $78.82
- Potential profit
- $78.35
- Multiplier
- 166.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.32
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $73.65
- Potential payout
- $74.09
- Potential profit
- $0.44
- User PnL
- $9.31
N
No position
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $69.65
- Potential payout
- $69.68
- Potential profit
- $0.03
- User PnL
- $6.21
Y
Yes position
Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $57.81
- Potential payout
- $64.6
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$1.52
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 65.5%
- Current value
- $41.25
- Potential payout
- $62.97
- Potential profit
- $21.72
- Multiplier
- 1.53x
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $54.72
- Potential payout
- $54.88
- Potential profit
- $0.16
- User PnL
- $4.17
No position
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $51.48
- Potential payout
- $51.74
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $8.34
- Potential payout
- $50.57
- Potential profit
- $42.23
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$5.02
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $40.09
- Potential payout
- $40.74
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $2.72
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $11.37
- Potential payout
- $32.96
- Potential profit
- $21.59
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$2.8
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $31.49
- Potential payout
- $31.7
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- User PnL
- $9.56
Yes position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $0.25
- Potential payout
- $28.18
- Potential profit
- $27.93
- Multiplier
- 111.11x
- User PnL
- -$9.95
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.58
- Potential profit
- $26.58
- User PnL
- -$4.52
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Current value
- $7.57
- Potential payout
- $20.18
- Potential profit
- $12.61
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- -$1.72
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $5.33
- Potential payout
- $20.13
- Potential profit
- $14.8
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$3.12
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $19.66
- Potential profit
- $19.6
- Multiplier
- 333.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $18.93
- Potential profit
- $18.63
- Multiplier
- 62.50x
- User PnL
- -$3.21
No position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 81.5%
- Current value
- $14.31
- Potential payout
- $17.56
- Potential profit
- $3.25
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.41
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.05
- Potential profit
- $17.05
- User PnL
- -$6.15
Yes position
Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $14
- Potential payout
- $16.18
- Potential profit
- $2.18
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $0.24
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $354.11
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $187.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.45
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.89
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.38
Yes position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.45
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.18
No position
Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.37
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.65
Yes position
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.76
No position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.56
No position
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.49
No position
Will Trump say "250" or "250th" during events in Rockland County?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.8
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.44
No position
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.92
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.01
No position
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.28
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.09
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.93
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.07
No position
Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?
Ends Apr 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.99
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.07
Yes position
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.83
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 95% 44.34 shares
- Will Trump post "UFC" on Truth Social this week?Yes 87% 6.5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 58.82 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 98.6% 7.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.2% 15.22 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 87.2% 12.68 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 92.5% 15.73 shares
- Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference?No 90.9% 3.62 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94% 7.49 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 93.6% 5.04 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 94.5% 48.29 shares
- Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?Yes 85.2% 6.02 shares