Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15K
- Potential profit
- $15K
- User PnL
- -$84.99
Polymarket Trader
0xff1c...2721
0xff1c3f4d3dd301c21a98e4cf6be4d8d89aa72721
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $42.71
- Realized PnL
- $37.69
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.24
- Potential profit
- $237.24
- User PnL
- -$231
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
Ends May 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $74
- Potential profit
- $74
- User PnL
- -$73.7
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.61
- Potential profit
- $36.61
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $24.69
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.31
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.9%
- Current value
- $17.94
- Potential payout
- $18.15
- Potential profit
- $0.21
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.08
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $16.58
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.92
No position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$9.74
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.25
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.82
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.72
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 20 to April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.39
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- No one announced as next James Bond?Yes 98.1% 25 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 99.4% 10 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 99.1% 6.56 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 99.2% 33.78 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No 98.6% 10 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.8% 32 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 98.6% 10.55 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 30?No 98.6% 1.01 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.8% 32 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 95.3% 31.48 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.8% 20.45 shares