SergoKop15ks

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $13.54
Potential payout: $13.54
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 28.1%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $5.62
Potential profit: $4.04
Multiplier: 3.55x
User PnL: $0.58

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.7
Potential profit: $3.7
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $0.91
Potential payout: $3.45
Potential profit: $2.53
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $2.22
Potential profit: $1.28
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.13
Potential profit: $2.13
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?

Implied probability: 81.6%
Current value: $1.41
Potential payout: $1.72
Potential profit: $0.32
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.41

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.59
Potential profit: $1.59
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.56
Potential profit: $1.56
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Vasylivka by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54
Potential profit: $1.54
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5
Potential profit: $1.5
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.34
Potential profit: $1.34
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $1.04
Potential payout: $1.27
Potential profit: $0.22
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25
Potential profit: $1.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.2
Potential profit: $1.2
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

Implied probability: 95.1%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $1.13
Potential profit: $0.06
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $1.07
Potential payout: $1.07
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.09

No position

Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $12.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Ends Apr 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.34

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.52

Yes position

Will Russia enter Moskovka by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $3.25

Timberwolves position

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.22

Yes position

Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.08

No position

Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.8

Oilers position

Ducks vs. Oilers

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

Yes position

Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?