Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $4.8
Polymarket Trader
piers346irwin
0xff36bf79dd1f6d4aacac246ca585a5a6e5e6be79
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $9.28
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran leadership change by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- $4.8
No position
Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.3%
- Multiplier
- 18.87x
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $109K on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
No position
Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open?
Ends Jun 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
N
No position
Will Elon tweet 220–234 times June 13–20?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
Yes position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.4%
- Multiplier
- 42.55x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will 'The Fantastic Four: First Steps' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will Boca Juniors win the FIFA Club World Cup?
Ends Jul 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the Conservative Liberals win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?No 96.3% 46 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Yes 13.6% 34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 2.4% 75 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes 2.8% 75 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?Yes 4.8% 47 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 95.2% 31 shares
- Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?No 98.5% 36 shares
- Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No 97.9% 46 shares
- US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No 88.3% 52 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 13% 44 shares
- Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes 10% 160 shares
- Will Alberta join the US?No 96.9% 43 shares