Yes position
Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $23.27
- Potential payout
- $67.46
- Potential profit
- $44.19
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Polymarket Trader
SnowBeaver
0xff36fc6de4ccdd290c14ee69244c21c1803ad5b7
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $23.27
- Realized PnL
- $457.6
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.32
- Potential profit
- $15.32
- User PnL
- -$3.51
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.45
Yes position
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $40.75
Yes position
Will there be exactly 5 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $38.58
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.52
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $31.52
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $29.51
Yes position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.4
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.44
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $16.85
No position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.68
Yes position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 22?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.3
Yes position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.97
Yes position
Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25%
- Multiplier
- 4.00x
- User PnL
- $14.04
No position
Megaquake by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.31
Yes position
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $12.21
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.87
No position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.27
Yes position
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.23
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.08
Yes position
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $6.05
Yes position
Megaquake by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- $5.86
No position
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.4
No position
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.59
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 37% 57.46 shares
- Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 36% 10 shares
- Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 15% 175.49 shares
- Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 27.6% 69.76 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 9% 674.35 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 96.8% 22.65 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 94% 15.77 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 8.7% 30 shares
- Megaquake by June 30?No 93% 8.06 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 8.3% 27.06 shares
- Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?Yes 1% 8.02 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 8.2% 53.26 shares