No position
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $519.75
- Potential payout
- $550
- Potential profit
- $30.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $30.25
Polymarket Trader
maniputakl
0xff371aed2053268f30e01d77495398edfbbe049c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $589.76
- Realized PnL
- $235.27
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $30
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20.01
- Potential payout
- $20.01
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.68
No position
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $20
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11
- Potential profit
- $11
- User PnL
- -$10.23
No position
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3
- Potential profit
- $3
- User PnL
- -$2.94
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.03
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.4
No position
Another commercial airline evacuation before March?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.65
No position
Will Solana dip to $120 by February 28 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
No position
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.91
No position
Will CDU/CSU, SPD, and FDP form the next German Government?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.05
No position
Will "A Real Pain" win Best Original Screenplay at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.5
No position
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.24
Yes position
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.68
No position
Will Bybit buy >$1b ETH by next Friday?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 50%
- Multiplier
- 2.00x
- User PnL
- $7.54
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 57°F or higher on March 4?
Ends Mar 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.83
Yes position
Will Strategy purchase Bitcoin Feb 18-24?
Ends Feb 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.21
Yes position
Will Norman Powell win 2024-25 NBA Most Improved?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Will Elon tweet 700-749 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.07
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Will "Conclave" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.8
No position
Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.78
No position
Will Jaren Jackson Jr. win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.76
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 750-799 times Feb 21-28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.58
No position
Will Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?
Ends Mar 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.36
Yes position
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.21
No position
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.19
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US government shutdown Saturday?No 93% 11 shares
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No 98.9% 342.26 shares
- Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No 82.7% 36 shares
- Bybit insolvent in 2025?No 94% 32 shares
- Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?No 96% 34 shares
- Israel military action against Iran in April?No 94% 5 shares
- Israel military action against Iran in April?No 94% 69 shares
- Bybit insolvent in 2025?No 94% 13 shares
- Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI before May?No 96.5% 47.31 shares
- Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?No 97.8% 9.99 shares
- Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?No 91.1% 10 shares
- Will a nuclear weapon detonate by June 30?No 95.6% 10 shares