Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $29.55
- Potential payout
- $454.55
- Potential profit
- $425
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$20.45
Polymarket Trader
Perroscaliente
0xff485eadc2942f7155f0875165d3d36edf010a29
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $479.29
- Realized PnL
- $256.38
- Win rate
- 45.5%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $416.67
- Potential payout
- $416.67
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $316.67
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $33.08
- Potential payout
- $254.43
- Potential profit
- $221.36
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$66.92
Yes position
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$23
No position
Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $48.28
- Potential profit
- $48.28
- User PnL
- -$20
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $283.33
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $111.25
Yes position
Will the US strike Syria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.39
Yes position
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.54
Yes position
Will "Conspiracy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.87
Yes position
Venezuela Parlay
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Trump say "Slavery" this week?
Ends May 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Will Leavitt say "Mainstream" during the next White House press briefing?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$47
Yes position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
No position
Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 11% 454.55 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?Yes 24% 416.67 shares
- Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Will the US strike Syria next?Yes 28% 71.39 shares
- Will the US strike Nigeria next?Yes 27% 73.97 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 39.3% 254.43 shares
- Will Leavitt say "Mainstream" during the next White House press briefing?Yes 45.5% 103.28 shares
- Will "Conspiracy" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (January 18)Yes 92% 10.87 shares
- Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No 24% 208.33 shares
- Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No 41.4% 48.28 shares
- Venezuela ParlayYes 3.5% 289.52 shares
- Maduro out by January 31, 2026?Yes 15% 333.33 shares