Y
Yes position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $44
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
Polymarket Trader
Glassnode01
0xff768cedfd265f8dab5a520298f5d50143648f3d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44
- Realized PnL
- $3.82
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of November 10 above $300?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 17?
Ends Nov 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Keir Starmer be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Other be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Keir Starmer win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on July 4, 2026?Yes 99.6% 44 shares
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?No 99.6% 45 shares
- Will MrBeast hit 491 million subscribers by June 30?Yes 99.9% 118 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 23?No 99.9% 88 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?No 99.7% 148 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?No 99.8% 57.99 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026No 99.9% 45 shares
- US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?No 99.3% 62 shares
- Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8?Yes 99.9% 0.99 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on February 8, 2026 (ET)?No 99.9% 188.6 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No 99.8% 50.55 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 99.7% 50.45 shares