No position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$300
Polymarket Trader
0xFf840f8180DCa10bBB178A41225344cC213a9a02-1776372371986
0xff840f8180dca10bbb178a41225344cc213a9a02
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $87.23
- Realized PnL
- $172.35
- Win rate
- 72.2%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 18
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $127.68
- Potential profit
- $127.68
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $87.23
- Potential payout
- $127.34
- Potential profit
- $40.11
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$12.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $113.47
- Potential profit
- $113.47
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $107.53
- Potential profit
- $107.53
- User PnL
- -$100
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.12
Yes position
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 46.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.15x
- User PnL
- $36.66
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.87
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $21
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.26
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.76
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- $4.33
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.02
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 14?
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$38.71
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?No 78.5% 127.34 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 93% 107.53 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 99.3% 104.93 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 14?No 95.9% 104.28 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No 95.3% 104.93 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 60% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 81.3% 182.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.8% 182.23 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 85% 100 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 17% 588.24 shares
- Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 9, 2026?No 34.4% 581.16 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 94% 232.55 shares